Forecasting Accuracy Reporting
AEMO is required under clause 3.13.3A(h) of the National Electricity Rules to prepare and publish information related to the accuracy of its inputs, demand and supply forecasts, and improvements that will apply to the next Electricity Statement of Opportunities. To meet these requirements, AEMO publishes a forecast accuracy report at least annually. Since 2019, AEMO has been inviting stakeholders to submit written feedback on any issues related to the improvement plan outlined in the report.
The latest report can be found below. Its predecessors can be found in the Archive folder.
Forecast Accuracy Methodology
In 2023, AEMO undertook an external expert review of the 2020 Forecasting Accuracy Report Methodology and 2022 Forecast Accuracy Report and its predecessors.
The assessment of AEMO’s current forecasting accuracy report methodology and further recommendations are provided in the 2023 Review of Forecast Accuracy Metrics report.
2021 Forecast accuracy report3.53 MB
2020 Forecast accuracy report3.69 MB
2019 Forecast accuracy report3.37 MB
Review of Forecast Accuracy Metrics report5.49 MB
2019 Summer forecast accuracy report1.15 MB
2018 Forecast accuracy report1.94 MB
2017 Forecast accuracy report1.26 MB
2016 Forecast accuracy report1.25 MB
2015 Forecast accuracy report3.83 MB