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STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the SA Region beginning on 09/07/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the SA region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 127971 has been updated to the following:
[1.] From 0600 hrs 09/07/2025 to 0130 hrs 10/07/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 737 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 667 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV line and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV
Cancellation time: 07/07/2025 03:04
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 127986
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV line and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV
Duration: 07/07/2025 02:00 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV line and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7125 132 kV and Collinsville North - Proserpine No.7126 132 kV
Cancellation time: 07/07/2025 00:19
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 127974
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A6 500kV line and Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A7 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A6 500kV and Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A7 500kV
Cancellation time: 06/07/2025 23:54
Constraint set(s) revoked:
N-5A6+5A7_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
VIC1-NSW1
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 127967
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV line and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV
Cancellation time: 06/07/2025 23:44
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 127981
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV line and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV
Cancellation time: 06/07/2025 23:14
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 127980
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV line and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Strathmore - Clare South No.7208 132 kV and Strathmore - Clare South tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV
Duration: 06/07/2025 22:40 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV line and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV
Duration: 06/07/2025 22:10 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations