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PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the SA Region on 27/02/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the SA region for the following Periods:
[1.] From 1530 hrs 27/02/2026 to 1730 hrs 27/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 440 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 390 MW.
[2.] From 2030 hrs 27/02/2026 to 2130 hrs 27/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 659 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 459 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the SA Region on 13/02/2026.
Cancellation of Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the SA Region on 13/02/2026.
Cancellation - Forecast MSL1- SA Region at 1420 hrs 13/02/2026.
Refer to Market Notice 133460 for MSL1.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 11/02/2026
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 133480 has been updated at 1638 hrs to the following:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 11/02/2026 to 1900 hrs 11/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1362 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1228 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 11/02/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1800 hrs 11/02/2026 to 1830 hrs 11/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1333 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the SA Region on 13/02/2026
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the SA region on 13/02/2026.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
- MSL1: 184 MW
- MSL2: 34 MW
- MSL3: -318 MW
The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period:
From 1200 hrs to 1300 hrs 13/02/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be 84 MW at 1300 hrs.
Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the SA Region on 10/02/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the SA region for the following Period:
[1.] From 2000 hrs 10/02/2026 to 2130 hrs 10/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 603 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 508 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 11/02/2026
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 133445 is cancelled at 1640 hrs 10/02/2026.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 11/02/2026
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 133442 has been updated at 1408 hrs to the following:
[1.] From 1700 hrs 11/02/2026 to 1830 hrs 11/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1028 MW.
[2.] From 1900 hrs 11/02/2026 to 1930 hrs 11/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1318 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 11/02/2026
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Periods:
[1.] From 1700 hrs 11/02/2026 to 1730 hrs 11/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1237 MW.
[2.] From 1900 hrs 11/02/2026 to 1930 hrs 11/02/2026.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1370 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1281 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations