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PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR2 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1800 hrs 19/12/2025 to 1830 hrs 19/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 700 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 649 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time at which it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Actual Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW region - 19/12/2025
Actual Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW region - 19/12/2025
An Actual LOR1 condition has been declared under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region from 1330 hrs.
The Actual LOR1 condition is forecast to exist until 19/12/2025 1800 hrs
The capacity reserve requirement is 1320 MW
The minimum capacity reserve available is 777 MW
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 21/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131825 has been updated at 1300 hrs 19/12/2025 to the following:
1. From 1430 hrs to 1500 hrs 21/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 893 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 685 MW.
2. From 1530 hrs to 1900 hrs 21/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1088 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 556 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131830 is cancelled at 1215 hrs 19/12/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131808 has been updated at 1045 hrs to the following:
[1.] From 1630 hrs 19/12/2025 to 1830 hrs 19/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 685 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 518 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO estimates the latest time at which it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event is 1530 hrs on 19/12/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 21/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131810 has been updated at 1000 hrs to the following:
From 1430 hrs to 2000 hrs 21/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 988 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 219 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO Operations
STPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 21/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131804 has been updated at 0800 hrs to the following:
From 1400 hrs to 2100 hrs 21/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1140 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 186 MW.
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131807 has been updated at 0815 hrs to the following:
[1.] From 1530 hrs 19/12/2025 to 1800 hrs 19/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 685 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 211 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO estimates the latest time at which it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event is 1430 hrs on 19/12/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 19/12/2025
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 131803 has been updated to the following:
[1.] From 1530 hrs 19/12/2025 to 1830 hrs 19/12/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 685 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 444 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time at which it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations