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Update to the Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL1) condition in the VIC region on 11/01/2026
Update to Market Notice 132484 - AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC region on 11/01/2026.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
- MSL1: 1730 MW
- MSL2: 1230 MW
- MSL3: 730 MW
The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period:
From 1230 hrs to 1330 hrs 11/01/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be 1719 MW at 1300 hrs.
Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data.
AEMO Operations
Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 11/01/2026
Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 11/01/2026
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC on 11/01/2026.
Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
- MSL1: 1675 MW
- MSL2: 1175 MW
- MSL3: 675 MW
The demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period[s]:
- From 1130 hrs 11/01/2026 to 1430 hrs 11/01/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be 1539 MW at 1300 hrs.
Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the SA Region on 04/01/2026.
Cancellation of Forecast Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the SA Region on 04/01/2026.
Cancellation - Forecast MSL1- SA Region at 1410 hrs 04/01/2026.
Refer to Market Notice 132262 for MSL1.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of Actual Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the SA Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation of Actual Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the SA Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation - Actual MSL1- SA Region at 1530 hrs 01/01/2026.
Refer to Market Notice 132351 for MSL1.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of Actual Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL2 event in the SA Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation of Actual Minimum System Load (MSL) MSL2 event in the SA Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation - Actual MSL2- SA Region at 1345 hrs 01/01/2026.
Refer to Market Notice 132356 for MSL2.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of ActualMinimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the VIC Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation of ActualMinimum System Load (MSL) MSL1 event in the VIC Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation - Actual MSL1- VIC Region at 1445 hrs 01/01/2026.
Refer to Market Notice 132355for MSL1.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of ForecastMinimum System Load (MSL) MSL2 event in the VIC Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation of ForecastMinimum System Load (MSL) MSL2 event in the VIC Region on 01/01/2026.
Cancellation - ForecastMSL2- VIC Region at 1330 hrs 01/01/2026.
Refer to Market Notice 132349for MSL2.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Actual Minimum System Load MSL2 condition in the SA Region on 01/01/2026
Actual Minimum System Load MSL2 condition in the SA Region on 01/01/2026
AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the SA on 01/01/2026.
Minimum demand is forecast to be -230 MW at 1330 hrs, and the advisory threshold is:
- MSL1 34 MW
- MSL2 -117 MW
- MSL3 -468 MW
The demand is below the MSL2 threshold. The actual MSL2 condition is forecast to exist until 1400 hrs.
Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Actual Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 01/01/2026
Actual Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 01/01/2026
Update to Market Notice 132340 - AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC on 01/01/2026.
Minimum demand is forecast to be 1620 MW at 1130 hrs, and the advisory threshold is:
MSL1 1760MW
MSL2 1260 MW
MSL3 760 MW
The demand is below the MSL1 threshold. The actual MSL1 condition is forecast to exist until 1530 hrs.
Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .
Manager NEM Real Time Operations