• NEM Regional Volatility and Price

  • In this section

  • The tables below specify the forecast Volatility Factors and Average Prices calculated for input to the prudential settings calculations over the previous four seasonal reviews (when available).

    Outstandings Limit Volatility Factor (VFOSLR)

    Region

    		 2018 Summer 2018 Shoulder  2018 Winter  2019 Summer

    NSW

    		 1.56 1.41 1.27  1.45

    QLD

    		 1.83 1.38 1.28  1.7

    SA

    		 1.84 1.5 1.45  1.78

    TAS

    		 1.43 1.49 1.39  1.46

    VIC

    		 1.53 1.3 1.28  1.52

    Prudential Margin Volatility Factor (VFPMR)

    Region

    		 2018 Summer  2018 Shoulder 2018 Winter   2019 Summer

    NSW

    		 2.69 1.89 1.57  2.22

    QLD

    		 4.27 2.23 1.75  3.51

    SA

    		 4.27 1.98 2.22  4.43

    TAS

    		 1.73 1.85 1.88  1.68

    VIC

    		 3.03 1.51 1.55  2.77

    Average Price (PR)

    Region

    		 2018 Summer 2018 Shoulder  2018 Winter   2019 Summer 

    NSW

    		 $41.35 $49.73 $50.94  $50.84

    QLD

    		 $54.08 $46.14 $48.01  $68.64

    SA

    		 $51.73 $51.22 $66.26  $66.35

    TAS

    		 $46.17 $55.67 $51.07  $59.50

    VIC

    		 $38.24 $40.01 $48.42  $49.99

    Review Seasons

    Review Season

    MCL Effective Date

    Calculation includes data up to this date
    2018 Winter 01-May-18 17-Mar-18
    2018 Shoulder 2 04-Sep-18  21-Jul-18
    2019 Summer 04-Dec-18 20-Oct-18
    2019 Shoulder 1 02-Apr-19 16-Feb-19
    2019 Winter 01-May-19 16-Mar-19

    For details information about regional volatility factors and prices, please refer to Credit Limit Procedures Supporting Information page.

    For further information, please contact AEMO's Information and Support Hub.