Forecasting

AEMO has been establishing capability in developing forecasts on a consistent and comparable basis across the National Electricity Market (NEM), for regional (state level) and transmission connection point forecasts. 

AEMO’s forecasts describe electricity consumption and maximum demand on an “operational” basis.


2014 Planning and Forecasting Scenarios

AEMO’s 2014 Planning and Forecasting Scenarios are intended to cover a range of possible futures faced by the energy industry and are used as the basis for AEMO’s long-term national forecasting and planning reports, and regulatory investment tests. Three scenarios have been defined representing high, medium and low energy (gas and electricity) consumption from the transmission network.

The scenarios were developed in collaboration with the Scenarios Working Group which included representatives from Government and industry.

2014 Planning and Forecasting Scenarios


National Electricity Forecasting Report (NEFR)

2015 National Electricity Forecasting Report

  • In June 2015 AEMO published the 2015 NEFR.

2014 National Electricity Forecasting Report

  • In June 2014 AEMO published the 2014 NEFR.

2013 National Electricity Forecasting Report

  • In June 2013 AEMO published the 2013 NEFR.

2012 National Electricity Forecasting Report

  • In 2012, AEMO developed regional (state level) forecasts for all five regions of the NEM as part of its inaugural National Electricity Forecasting Report (NEFR).

AEMO Transmission Connection Point Forecasts

In 2014–15, AEMO will produce electricity maximum demand forecasts (active and reactive power) at transmission connection point level, over a 10-year outlook period for each NEM region. Click here for more information on AEMO’s Transmission Connection Point Forecasts.