7-Day Outlook

The data in the table below is provided in the 7-day outlook peak data report:
http://www.nemweb.com.au/REPORTS/CURRENT/SEVENDAYOUTLOOK_PEAK

Previous versions are available from:
http://www.nemweb.com.au/REPORTS/ARCHIVE/SEVENDAYOUTLOOK_PEAK

7-day outlook table

Forecast capacity and demand at daily peak for NEM Regions (figures in MW)

See Note 1

Region Date 21-May-13 22-May-13 23-May-13 24-May-13 25-May-13 26-May-13 27-May-13
NSW1 Scheduled Capacity 12755 11901 12654 12628 12507 12498 11802
Scheduled Demand 10173 10871 10622 10281 9674 9757 7600
Net Interchange -1378 -2401 -1588 -1503 -1349 -1367 -755
Scheduled Reserve 3960 3431 3620 3850 4181 4107 4957
Trading Interval 18:00 18:00 18:00 18:00 18:00 18:00 00:30
QLD1 Scheduled Capacity 9457 9822 10102 9640 9720 9752 9733
Scheduled Demand 6842 6961 6744 6540 6174 6223 5036
Net Interchange -258 -239 -245 -255 -276 -274 -378
Scheduled Reserve 2873 3100 3603 3355 3822 3803 5075
Trading Interval 18:00 18:00 18:00 18:00 18:00 18:00 00:30
SA1 Scheduled Capacity 1953 1854 1768 1724 1656 1670 1606
Scheduled Demand 1973 1917 1936 1744 1676 1690 1502
Net Interchange -460 -460 -460 -460 -460 -460 -460
Scheduled Reserve 440 397 292 440 440 440 564
Trading Interval 19:00 19:00 19:00 19:00 19:00 19:00 00:30
TAS1 Scheduled Capacity 2386 2476 2339 2287 2490 2490 2490
Scheduled Demand 1508 1495 1515 1495 1408 1403 1075
Net Interchange -478 -478 -478 -478 -478 -478 -478
Scheduled Reserve 1356 1459 1302 1270 1560 1565 1893
Trading Interval 08:30 18:00 08:30 08:30 18:00 18:00 00:30
VIC1 Scheduled Capacity 8883 8981 8876 8749 8708 8720 9462
Scheduled Demand 7257 7410 7359 7207 6430 6416 5151
Net Interchange -1589 -1884 -1426 -2270 -2334 -2354 -1289
Scheduled Reserve 3214 3454 2943 3811 4612 4658 5600
Trading Interval 18:30 18:00 18:30 18:00 18:30 18:30 00:30

Note 1: Between midnight and 14:00 hrs EST, the last day of the 7-day outlook only covers the period midnight to 04:00 hrs because Short-term PASA only covers six trading days.

Note 2: Values in the 7-day outlook table and 7-day outlook peak data report are rounded, and there could be +/- 1 MW differences when verifying the equation: Scheduled Capacity - Scheduled Demand - Net Interchange = Scheduled Reserve.   However values in the 7-day outlook full data reports are not rounded.

Explanation of Terms

Scheduled Capacity

The total forecast generating capacity, available to the region at the time of its forecast daily peak demand (as limited by any network constraints), based on:

  • The offered maximum availability of all scheduled generation within that region, as limited by any offered daily energy limitations.
  • The unconstrained intermittent generation forecasts of all semi-scheduled generation within that region.

This figure does not include net import from other regions.

Scheduled Demand

The forecast daily peak demand for the region, based on weather-adjusted forecasts by AEMO with a 50% probability of exceedance, to be met by scheduled and semi-scheduled generation (either locally or via interconnector imports).

Net Interchange

The forecast net interconnector export from (positive) or import to (negative) the region.

Scheduled Reserve

The scheduled capacity for a region, less net interchange with other regions, which is in excess of its scheduled demand.

Trading Interval

The time of the forecast daily peak demand for the region, expressed as half-hour ending in Eastern Standard Time (EST) in Australia.

 

The information in the 7-day outlook table above is extracted from the latest LOR (Lack of Reserve) runs of the Pre-dispatch PASA and Short-term PASA processes.

The information is also provided in the following 7-day outlook full data report: http://www.nemweb.com.au/REPORTS/CURRENT/SEVENDAYOUTLOOK_FULL 

Previous versions of the 7-day outlook full data reports are available from: http://www.nemweb.com.au/REPORTS/ARCHIVE/SEVENDAYOUTLOOK_FULL

The LRC (Low Reserve Condition) reports produced from the Short-term PASA process are available from: http://www.nemweb.com.au/REPORTS/CURRENT/Short_Term_PASA_Reports/

 

Note: the LRC reports produced from the Pre-dispatch PASA process are currently not published.