AEMO Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO)
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Electricity Statement of Opportunities
The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) publishes an Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) each year to provide the energy industry and potential investors with information about demand forecasts, generation capacities, and National Electricity Market (NEM) supply adequacy for the next 10 years.
This page contains both an electronic copy of the entrie 2011 ESOO (immediately below), and copies of individual chapters listed separately (further below).
AEMO 2011 ESOO
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO2011.pdf
Key Findings provides an overview of the 2011 ESOO's findings in relation to the supply-demand outlook, energy and maximum demand projection, generation investment trends, and general investment opportunities for each region within the NEM.
ESOO Key Findings
30 Aug 2011 | filename: key_findings.pdf
Key Findings Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_key_findings.xlsx
Key Findings Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: KEY_FIG.zip
- Chapter 1 - Introduction
- Chapter 2 - Emerging Investment Trends
- Chapter 3 - Energy and Demand Projections
- Chapter 4 - Generation Capacities
- Chapter 5 - Fuel Supply
- Chapter 6 - Reliability and Minimum Reserve Levels
- Chapter 7 - Supply-Demand Outlook
- Chapter 8 - Investment Opportunities
Chapter 1 - Introduction
ESOO Chapter 1
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter1.pdf
Chapter 1 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_1.xlsx
Chapter 1 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_1_FIG.zip
Chapter 2 - Emerging Investment Trends
Emerging Investment Trends presents an overview of the NEM’s investment environment, focusing on the potential impact of climate change policies and emerging technologies on the nature of supply and demand.
ESOO Chapter 2
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter2.pdf
Chapter 2 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_2.xlsx
Chapter 2 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_2_FIG.zip
Chapter 3 - Energy and Demand Projections
Energy and Demand Projections presents energy and maximum demand projections for the next 10 years. To address the risks associated with planning in an uncertain environment, AEMO has adopted a scenario-based approach. The scenarios provide a detailed analysis of the impact of the variations to economic, demographic, and Australian carbon policy assumptions. Chapter 3 is supplemented by Appendix A, Appendix B and Appendix C.
ESOO Chapter 3
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter3.pdf
Chapter 3 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_3.xlsx
Chapter 3 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_3_FIG.zip
Chapter 4 - Generation Capacities
Generation Capacities presents information about generation for each region, including current summer and winter generation capacities, planned capacity changes, and generation for which a commitment or proposal to build has been made (according to AEMO’s committed project criteria).
The AEMO website’s generation information page provides frequent updates about NEM generation capacities.
ESOO Chapter 4
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter4.pdf
Chapter 4 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_4.xlsx
Chapter 5 - Fuel Supply
Fuel Supply provides an overview of the location, availability, and usage of fuel supplies in the NEM.
ESOO Chapter 5
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter5.pdf
Chapter 5 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_5.xlsx
Chapter 5 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_5_FIG.zip
Chapter 6 - Reliability and Minimum Reserve Levels
Reliability and Minimum Reserve Levels describes concepts relating to medium and long-term power system reliability, with a specific focus on the calculation and application of minimum reserve levels (MRLs), which form the basis of AEMO’s system reliability assessments.
The supply-demand outlook applies MRLs when comparing available generation supplies and maximum demand projections.
ESOO Chapter 6
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter6.pdf
Chapter 6 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_6.xlsx
Chapter 6 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_6_FIG.zip
Chapter 7 - Supply-Demand Outlook
Supply-Demand Outlook presents regional supply-demand balance projections that identify potential opportunities for demand-side response and additional generation and network capacity investment over a 10-year outlook period. Opportunities are identified from the expected timing and magnitude of reserve shortfalls, where existing and committed supply falls below the required capacity for reliability.
These projections are based on the maximum demand projections presented in Chapter 3, the committed generation projects presented in Chapter 4, the MRLs presented in Chapter 6, and the committed network projects listed in Appendix D.
ESOO Chapter 7
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter7.pdf
Chapter 7 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_7.xlsx
Chapter 7 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_7_FIG.zip
Chapter 8 - Investment Opportunities
Investment Opportunities describes trends and key developments identified in the preceding chapters that may present opportunities for new investment within the NEM. This chapter also draws on information from the latest assessments of new technology costs, existing market conditions, and the results of previous published works, such as the latest NTNDP.
ESOO Chapter 8
30 Aug 2011 | filename: chapter8.pdf
Chapter 8 Tables
30 Aug 2011 | filename: ESOO_Electronic_Data_Chapter_8.xlsx
Chapter 8 Figures
30 Aug 2011 | filename: CHP_8_FIG.zip